
Eastspring Investments analyzes China's total debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 250% (end-2016), focusing on corporate sector leverage, SOE misallocation, shadow banking risks, and the government's controlled deleveraging effo…

Guggenheim Investments presents its Q2 2026 relative-value outlook across the full fixed-income spectrum, covering rates, investment-grade and high-yield corporates, bank loans, ABS/CLOs, RMBS, CMBS, munis, agency MBS, p…

Man Group analyses 22 historical episodes of oil price spikes to argue that today's tight US high yield spread environment (317bps, 12th percentile) removes the recovery cushion that previously offset crude-driven credit…

Lord Abbett hosts a post-FOMC webinar examining Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting as Chair, covering the June rate decision, updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and dot plot, and implications for rates, inflation…

Loomis Sayles' Q2 2026 Credit Analyst Diffusion Indices (CANDIs) survey of ~30 industries finds that forward-looking sentiment has softened—falling below neutral for the first time since mid-2025—driven by rising input c…

Man Group's H2 2026 credit outlook examines the surge in AI and hyperscaler bond issuance in public markets alongside a wave of high-profile defaults in private credit AI and software deals, raising concerns about bubble…

Yarra Capital Management's Head of Australian Credit Research examines the 2026 Australian credit market, where rising government bond yields (3-year up ~30bps YTD), surging primary issuance (up 29% to $186bn), and tight…

Loomis Sayles' Co-Head of Emerging Markets Debt argues that EM corporate bonds offer insurance companies a compelling combination of incremental yield, lower net leverage, and stronger interest coverage relative to devel…
First Eagle's Head of Municipal Credit, John Miller, discusses the resilience of municipal bonds amid interest rate volatility, renewed inflation concerns, and record issuance levels in Q2 2026. Miller argues that curren…

PIMCO's 2026 Secular Outlook argues that geopolitical fragmentation, AI-driven capital spending (~$14 trillion over five years), and fiscal strain are widening the distribution of global macro outcomes and accelerating a…

AllianceBernstein's European economist argues that the ECB's hiking cycle—prompted by an energy shock from the Iran war—should remain limited to one or two 25bp moves, as the euro-area economy is materially weaker than d…
Wellington Investment Director Paul Skinner delivers a short weekly video briefing covering key market developments and themes investors should monitor. The update spans fixed income and broader market conditions, with c…

PIMCO's CIO of Non-Traditional Strategies, Marc Seidner, argues that despite strong bond returns over the past 12 months, fixed income remains attractive given 10-year U.S. Treasury yields ranging between 3.75%–4.75%, wi…

PIMCO Group CIO Dan Ivascyn discusses the risks posed by rising U.S. fiscal deficits, noting that while the dollar's reserve currency status affords some buffer, elevated deficits are likely to keep real rates and yield…

PIMCO's CIO Global Fixed Income Andrew Balls and Head of the Global Desk Sachin Gupta discuss why active management in global bonds offers advantages over passive approaches, citing PIMCO's 30-year track record, global t…

PIMCO argues that active management can systematically add 0.5–1.5 percentage points of alpha per year to LDI portfolios with minimal additional risk, citing their EUR LDI composite's ~1.4% average annual outperformance…

PIMCO's Marc Seidner and Pramol Dhawan argue that the 40-year downtrend in the U.S. term premium is poised to reverse, driven by persistent fiscal deficits, rising Treasury issuance, and sticky inflation. They outline po…

PIMCO argues that the Bank of England's policy rate of 4.75%—the highest among large developed economies—will fall by more than markets currently price, with internal models pointing to a UK neutral rate of 2%–3%. The pi…

PIMCO's April 2023 Cyclical Outlook argues that tighter monetary policy and banking-sector stress (SVB, Credit Suisse) have raised the probability of a sooner and deeper recession across developed markets, while likely c…

PIMCO Group CIO Daniel Ivascyn and Global Head of Product Strategy Kimberley Stafford discuss the restored diversification role of bonds amid market volatility and central bank divergence, arguing that attractive yields…
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